By the Numbers: Who is the Best X-Loss Team?
Team Ratings Records often define teams. A team with a 6-6 record at this moment is usually thought to be average while teams with few losses are thought to be the cream of the crop. But what happens when we…
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Continue ReadingRecords often define teams. A team with a 6-6 record at this moment is usually thought to be average while teams with few losses are thought to be the cream of the crop. But what happens when we compare teams with the same number of losses? Using the ratings for each class, the list below is the best team with each number of losses, 0 through 10. Records are for MN vs. MN games only.
0 Losses
- A – #4 Waterville-Elysian-Morristown 13-0
- AA – #13 Pelican Rapids 12-0
- AAA – #2 Marshall 13-0
- AAAA – #1 Hopkins 12-0
1 Loss
- A – #1 Cromwell-Wright 11-1
- AA – #4 New London-Spicer 12-1
- AAA – #1 DeLaSalle 7-1
- AAAA – #5 Wayzata 14-1
2 Losses
- A – #3 Mayer Lutheran 11-2
- AA – #1 Rochester Lourdes 12-2
- AAA – #4 Becker 9-2
- AAAA – #2 Farmington 11-2
3 Losses
- A – #2 Mountain Iron-Buhl 8-3
- AA – #2 Waseca 10-3
- AAA – #5 Hutchinson 9-3
- AAAA – #3 St. Michael-Albertville 9-3
4 Losses
- A – #9 BOLD 9-4
- AA – #3 Lake City 12-4
- AAA – #3 St. Paul Como Park 8-4
- AAAA – #4 Chaska 9-4
5 Losses
- A – #15 Pine River-Backus 7-5
- AA – #9 Jordan 7-5
- AAA – #9 Waconia 9-5
- AAAA – #15 Shakopee 7-5
6 Losses
- A – #8 Belgrade-Brooten-Elrosa 6-6
- AA – #37 Breckenridge 6-6
- AAA – #13 Totino-Grace 7-6
- AAAA – #8 Eden Prairie 7-6
7 Losses
- A – #49 Lake Park-Audubon 6-7
- AA – #24 Morris/Chokio-Alberta 5-7
- AAA – #27 Mankato East 7-7
- AAAA – #26 Edina 6-7
8 Losses
- A – #29 Red Lake 2-8
- AA – #42 Litchfield 4-8
- AAA – #26 Byron 5-8
- AAAA – #23 Prior Lake 4-8
9 Losses
- A – #37 Northern Freeze 3-9
- AA – #51 Pequot Lakes 6-9
- AAA – #19 Benilde-St. Margaret’s 5-9
- AAAA – #19 Apple Valley 5-9
10 Losses
- A – #69 Rothsay 3-10
- AA – #89 Blue Earth 0-10
- AAA – #39 Chisago Lakes 2-10
- AAAA – #17 St. Louis Park 4-10
Biggest Upset
This section will feature the most unlikely winners. When the preseason ratings are involved, the unlikely winners have a chance to be the better team, but we use the ratings at the time of the game to determine who goes here.
Isle 61, Upsala 53 (0.38% chance of upset)
A comparison of records wouldn’t tell you the size of this upset, but schedule strength and comparative results would. The only common opponent was Swanville, who lost to Upsala by 37 and beat Isle by 13.
Honorable Mention: Cook County 38, Floodwood 35 (1.27%), Legacy Christian 47, North Lakes 20 (1.42%)
Biggest Gainers
This section will be reserved for the teams that move up the rankings the most.
A – East Central (previously Class A #68, currently #53)
- Wins – A #95 Ogilvie (52-43), AA #111 Rush City (53-30)
- Losses –none
AA – Barnesville (previously Class AA #59, currently #38)
- Wins – A #43 NCE/U-H (63-54), AA #90 Osakis (51-48), AA #67 Dilworth-Glyndon-Felton (48-38)
- Losses – none
AAA – Richfield (previously Class AAA #43, currently #37)
- Wins – AAA #57 Columbia Heights (88-54)
- Losses – AAA #1 DeLaSalle (81-56)
AAAA – Blaine (previously Class AAAA #30, currently #21)
- Wins – AAAA #7 Elk River (62-54)
- Losses – AAAA #14 Centennial (65-62)
Biggest Fallers
This section will include the teams that fell down the rankings the most.
A – Dawson-Boyd (previously Class A #95, currently #114)
- Wins – none
- Losses – A #6 Minneota (94-24), A #52 Yellow Medicine East (66-24), A #16 Southwest MN Christian (82-35)
AA – Minnesota Valley Lutheran (previously Class AA #39, currently #65)
- Wins – A #102 New Ulm Cathedral (71-43), A #21 Springfield (70-65)
- Losses – none
AAA – New Ulm (previously Class AAA #32, currently #26)
- Wins – AA #88 St. James (71-56)
- Losses – AAA #20 Worthington (68-29), AAA #21 Kasson-Mantorville (79-36)
AAAA – Cretin-Derham Hall(previously Class AAAA #36, currently #43)
- Wins – AAAA #57 Irondale (69-67)
- Losses – AAAA #34 Roseville (59-39)
Highest Scoring Games
It was a pretty standard week as far as points per game go, with the weekly average sitting at 105.6 points. The season average is down just 0.1 points to 106.1 points per game. Chanhassen becomes the first team to make the list twice in the same week.
- Tri-City United 92, Jackson County Central 84
- Chanhassen 90, Holy Family 84
- St. Louis Park 94, Chanhassen 73
- DeLaSalle 83, Holy Angels 79
- Big Lake 82, Princeton 73
Predictions
Each week I will list the computer predictions for some of the more interesting games around the state. These predictions may change as the week goes on due to the outcomes of previous games. All games that I am aware of each day are predicted on Twitter (@MNBBRatings).
Monday
- Annandale @ Eden Valley-Watkins (Eden Valley-Watkins 47-41)
Tuesday
- Park Center @ Centennial (Park Center 81-68)
- Lakeville North @ Burnsville (Lakeville North 78-73)
- Hutchinson @ St. Peter (Hutchinson 57-56)
- Fergus Falls @ Hawley (Fergus Falls 56-49)
Thursday
- Holy Angels @ Prior Lake (Holy Angels 84-83)
- Red Wing @ Rochester Mayo (Red Wing 64-60)
- Eastview @ Lakeville South (Lakeville South 56-55)
Friday
- Wayzata @ St. Michael-Albertville (St. Michael-Albertville 73-67)
- Goodhue @ Stewartville (Goodhue 59-56)
- Mesabi East @ Proctor (Mesabi East 51-48)
- Benilde-St. Margaret’s @ Chanhassen (Chanhassen 75-72)
Saturday
- Sauk Centre vs. Mountain Iron-Buhl (Sauk Centre 63-60)
- Waseca @ Marshall (Marshall 55-46)
- Fergus Falls vs. Roseau (Fergus Falls 71-65)
Top photo: Brielle Bartlett has the Buccaneers of Waterville-Elysian-Morristown off to a 13-0 start. Photo courtesy of the Faribault Daily News.