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Immediate Takeaways from Region Quarterfinals

Immediate Takeaways from Region Quarterfinals
Brandon Fisher
Brandon Fisher February 14, 2026 @ 08:27 AM
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Friday around 7:00 PM, nearly every regional quarterfinal across Florida tipped off simultaneously. With the entire bracket moving at once, it gave us a clear snapshot of how much seeding truly matters — and it also raised bigger questions about blowouts, balance, and whether eight classifications might be too many.

Seeding Matters: Chalk Dominates Regional Quarterfinals

It pays to schedule tough, win games, and earn a 1 or 2 seed.

Not only does a top seed put you in a more favorable bracket position, but it also provides something extremely valuable this time of year — rest. With the long grind of the season wearing on players, especially top contributors logging heavy minutes, that extra edge matters when they can either sit or play limited minutes in that opening round.

One frustration? All games being played on the same date and at the same time across Florida. It makes it nearly impossible to catch multiple matchups — and with so many blowouts, it raises the question: is eight classifications too many? Do we really need eight state champions each year?

By The Numbers

1 Seeds: 28–0
2 Seeds: 28–0

Top seeds were flawless.

3 Seeds: 23–5 (82% win rate)
4 Seeds: 18–9 (67% win rate)
(No score reported from North Marion vs. Satellite)

The data is clear — higher seeds overwhelmingly handled business.

Rural Class: No Drama

There were no upsets in the Rural Class semifinals.

Margins of victory:
7, 19, 43, 46, 49, 51, 54, 73

Several of those games were decided before halftime.


Notable Upsets

While most brackets followed the script, 6A delivered some chaos.

Three 6-seeds knocked off 3-seeds:

  • Lakeland (62–54) over Wekiva
  • Bartram Trail (48–44) over Navarre
  • Charlotte (33–32) over Manatee

6A proved that while seeding matters, it doesn't guarantee anything once the ball tips.


Regional Semifinals: Top Matchup to Watch Per Class

7A: Colonial vs. Creekside
6A: Nova vs. Martin County
5A: Ponte Vedra vs. Orange Park
4A: Fort Walton Beach vs. Rickards

3A (Region 2 is loaded):

  • Lake Highland Prep vs. Cardinal Mooney
  • Tampa Catholic vs. Windermere Prep

2A: San Jose Prep vs. The First Academy
1A: North Tampa Christian Academy vs. Altamonte Christian


Seeding has clearly mattered so far — but the deeper we get, the smaller the margins become. The question now: does chalk continue, or do we start seeing more bracket-busters?

The next round should give us that answer.

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